Fintech

Romain Baeriswyl, “Yesterday’s controversies for tomorrow’s money”
Swiss National Bank, Working paper n° 10/2026

Posted in: Articolo

Ago 26 2026
Abstract: While money has evolved from natural commodities to digital tokens, the debate about the ideal money has remained the same throughout the ages. Historical controversies about the origin, nature, and double-spending of money offer valuable insights for navigating the new forms of money tokens ...more »

Fabian Wagner, Julian Metzler, “When the crowd speaks: AI-based retail investor sentiment indicator with Reddit data”
European Central Bank, Working paper n° 3276

Posted in: Articolo

Ago 26 2026
Abstract: Retail investors increasingly discuss markets in real time on social media, yet these discussions remain difficult to measure systematically. This paper introduces the Reddit Retail Investor Sentiment Indicator (R-RISI), a high-frequency measure of retail investor sentiment based on Reddit posts from major investing and ...more »

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David J. Deming, and Tyler Schumacher, “What Work Does Generative AI Do?”
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Working paper n° 2026-017A

Posted in: Articolo

Ago 26 2026
Abstract: We measure how workers use genAI for their jobs in a nationally representative survey linking genAI adoption to detailed occupations and tasks. Our data provide the first task-level genAI adoption indexes, which we show can inform analyses of genAI’s labor market impact. Exposure scores explain ...more »

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Boris Hofmann, Aaron Mehrotra and Jan Paulick, “Dollarisation and monetary control: what lessons for the rise of stablecoins?”
Bank for International Settlements, Working paper n° 1370

Posted in: Articolo

Lug 31 2026
Abstract: The emergence of stablecoins has created a new channel to access US dollar liquidity in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), similar to the historical role of foreign currency deposits, or “deposit dollarisation”. This has raised concerns about the possible implications for monetary control ...more »

Hyung Joo Kim and Dong Hwan Oh, “Capturing Heterogeneity: Machine Learning Approaches to Implied Volatility Forecasting”
Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C., Working paper n° 2026-049

Posted in: Articolo

Lug 31 2026
Abstract: Despite documented heterogeneity in volatility dynamics across the option surface, standard implied volatility forecasting models apply homogeneous parameters throughout. We introduce a machine-learning framework that uses regression trees to partition the surface along both moneyness and maturity dimensions, identifying data-driven regions where distinct forecasting ...more »

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Boris Hofmann, Matthias Kaldorf and Matthias Rottner, “The macroeconomics of stablecoins”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Paper n° 1363

Posted in: Articolo

Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We analyse the macroeconomic impact of stablecoins using a quantitative macroeconomic model. Stablecoins influence the economy through two opposing channels: (i) a bank lending channel, as household demand for stablecoins raises deposit rates, increases bank funding costs, and reduces loan supply; and (ii) a ...more »

Yuteng Cheng, Jonathan Chiu, Mohammad Davoodalhosseini and Janet Hua Jiang, “Data Externalities, Market Power, and the Optimal Design of Central Bank Digital Currencies”
Bank of Canada, Working paper n° 2026-21

Posted in: Articolo

Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We study the optimal design of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in an economy where private payment service providers (PSPs) collect and monetize transaction data and may have market power. Payments data create social benefits through law enforcement and monitoring but also impose ...more »

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Nordine Abidi, Leonardo Gambacorta, Christoffer Kok, Leonardo Madio, Ixart Miquel-Flores, and Alberto Partida, “Disciplining digital risk: evidence from cyber stress tests”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Papers n° 1351

Posted in: Articolo

Mag 29 2026
Abstract: Investment in cybersecurity in an interconnected banking system has public-good proper-ties: positive externalities can generate systemic underinvestment. Using confidential supervi-sory data from the European Central Bank, we first identify “laggard” European banks that underinvest relative to their cyber-risk profiles, and then examine how supervisory ...more »

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Christian Friedrich and Laura Zhao “Patterns and Determinants of Global Cryptocurrency Flows”
Bank of Canada, Working paper 2026-15

Posted in: Articolo

Mag 29 2026
Abstract: In this paper, we examine the patterns and determinants of cross-border cryptocurrency flows. While our analysis focuses primarily on Bitcoin flows, the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization, we show that our key results also extend to four major stablecoins. After documenting global patterns ...more »

Romain Baeriswyl, Kene Boun My and Camille Cornand “Central Bank Digital Currency and Gresham’s law: An experimental analysis”
Swiss National Bank, Working Paper n° 3/2026

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: In a monetary system in which risk-free and risky money coexist, Gresham’s law predicts that people will hoard risk-free money as a store of value and spend risky money as a medium of exchange. Establishing a payment system on the basis of risk-free money, ...more »

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