Fintech

Romain Baeriswyl, Kene Boun My and Camille Cornand “Central Bank Digital Currency and Gresham’s law: An experimental analysis”
Swiss National Bank, Working Paper n° 3/2026

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: In a monetary system in which risk-free and risky money coexist, Gresham’s law predicts that people will hoard risk-free money as a store of value and spend risky money as a medium of exchange. Establishing a payment system on the basis of risk-free money, ...more »

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Iñaki Aldasoro, Paula Beltrán and Federico Grinberg “Stablecoin flows and spillovers to FX markets”
Bank for International Settlements, BIS Working Papers n° 1340

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: Using data on four USD-pegged stablecoins and 27 fiat currencies, this paper documents spillovers from stablecoin-based foreign exchange (FX) to traditional FX markets. We document a gap between the cost of acquiring dollars via stablecoins and via the spot FX market (parity deviations). To ...more »

Bo Li, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, Marcello Miccoli, Brandon Joel Tan and Longmei Zhang “Making Stablecoins Stable”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/74

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: Payment stablecoins are privately issued digital money with the potential to enhance payment efficiency, foster innovation, and improve financial inclusion. At the same time, they are vulnerable to runs and associated welfare losses. One way to lower run risk is to require stablecoin issuers ...more »

Andrés Azqueta-Gavaldón, Marina Diakonova, Corinna Ghirelli and Javier J. Pérez “Diverging signals from economic uncertainty measures: Uncovering coherence through news narratives”
BANCO DE ESPAÑA, Working paper n° 2641

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: The proliferation of economic uncertainty indicators —ranging from text-based indices like the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index to market-based measures such as the VIX and the ECB’s Country-Level Index of Financial Stress (CLIFS)— has enriched the analytical toolkit of economists and policymakers. Yet these ...more »

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Forecasting Bitcoin price movements using multivariate Hawkes processes and limit order book data

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 17 2026
Authors: Davide Raffaelli, Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari, Daniele Marazzina, Simone Formentin Forecasting short-term returns of Bitcoin is a key challenge in high-frequency trading, due to the cryptocurrency’s extreme volatility, market microstructure complexity, and non-stationary behavior. Limit Order Book (LOB) data offer a rich source of high-resolution information that can improve ...more »

Marco Gross and Richard Senner “From Par to Pressure: Liquidity, Redemptions, and Fire Sales with a Systemic Stablecoin”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/5

Posted in: Articolo

Mar 26 2026
Abstract: Fiat-backed stablecoins are expanding, and their issuers may attain systemic relevance as reserve portfolios grow and as they may become increasingly intertwined with financial markets. This paper analyzes the resulting risks and the design choices that can mitigate them. A detailed financial-economics discussion forms ...more »

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Eugenio M. Cerutti, Martina Hengge and Takaaki Sagawa, “Stablecoin Shocks”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/44

Posted in: Articolo

Mar 26 2026
Abstract: We develop novel measures of stablecoin shocks and use them to identify the causal effects of stablecoin adoption on U.S. financial markets. Combining a daily narrative dataset of stablecoin-specific news with changes in the combined market capitalization of USDC and USDT, we measure high-frequency ...more »

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Danish Us-Salam, “Mitigating Vulnerability: The Role of Risk Warnings, Information Order & Salience in Crypto Assets”
Central Bank of Ireland, Working paper n° 9

Posted in: Articolo

Feb 26 2026
Abstract: The growing popularity of crypto assets has driven increased engagement, often fuelled by promotional content that highlights past returns while downplaying risks. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of behaviourally informed risk warnings in such a setting. Using an online randomized controlled trial, participants viewed ...more »

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