Fintech

Boris Hofmann, Matthias Kaldorf and Matthias Rottner, “The macroeconomics of stablecoins”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Paper n° 1363

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We analyse the macroeconomic impact of stablecoins using a quantitative macroeconomic model. Stablecoins influence the economy through two opposing channels: (i) a bank lending channel, as household demand for stablecoins raises deposit rates, increases bank funding costs, and reduces loan supply; and (ii) a ...more »

Yuteng Cheng, Jonathan Chiu, Mohammad Davoodalhosseini and Janet Hua Jiang, “Data Externalities, Market Power, and the Optimal Design of Central Bank Digital Currencies”
Bank of Canada, Working paper n° 2026-21

Posted in: Articolo

Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We study the optimal design of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in an economy where private payment service providers (PSPs) collect and monetize transaction data and may have market power. Payments data create social benefits through law enforcement and monitoring but also impose ...more »

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Nordine Abidi, Leonardo Gambacorta, Christoffer Kok, Leonardo Madio, Ixart Miquel-Flores, and Alberto Partida, “Disciplining digital risk: evidence from cyber stress tests”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Papers n° 1351

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Mag 29 2026
Abstract: Investment in cybersecurity in an interconnected banking system has public-good proper-ties: positive externalities can generate systemic underinvestment. Using confidential supervi-sory data from the European Central Bank, we first identify “laggard” European banks that underinvest relative to their cyber-risk profiles, and then examine how supervisory ...more »

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Christian Friedrich and Laura Zhao “Patterns and Determinants of Global Cryptocurrency Flows”
Bank of Canada, Working paper 2026-15

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Mag 29 2026
Abstract: In this paper, we examine the patterns and determinants of cross-border cryptocurrency flows. While our analysis focuses primarily on Bitcoin flows, the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization, we show that our key results also extend to four major stablecoins. After documenting global patterns ...more »

Romain Baeriswyl, Kene Boun My and Camille Cornand “Central Bank Digital Currency and Gresham’s law: An experimental analysis”
Swiss National Bank, Working Paper n° 3/2026

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: In a monetary system in which risk-free and risky money coexist, Gresham’s law predicts that people will hoard risk-free money as a store of value and spend risky money as a medium of exchange. Establishing a payment system on the basis of risk-free money, ...more »

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Iñaki Aldasoro, Paula Beltrán and Federico Grinberg “Stablecoin flows and spillovers to FX markets”
Bank for International Settlements, BIS Working Papers n° 1340

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: Using data on four USD-pegged stablecoins and 27 fiat currencies, this paper documents spillovers from stablecoin-based foreign exchange (FX) to traditional FX markets. We document a gap between the cost of acquiring dollars via stablecoins and via the spot FX market (parity deviations). To ...more »

Bo Li, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, Marcello Miccoli, Brandon Joel Tan and Longmei Zhang “Making Stablecoins Stable”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/74

Posted in: Articolo

Apr 29 2026
Abstract: Payment stablecoins are privately issued digital money with the potential to enhance payment efficiency, foster innovation, and improve financial inclusion. At the same time, they are vulnerable to runs and associated welfare losses. One way to lower run risk is to require stablecoin issuers ...more »

Andrés Azqueta-Gavaldón, Marina Diakonova, Corinna Ghirelli and Javier J. Pérez “Diverging signals from economic uncertainty measures: Uncovering coherence through news narratives”
BANCO DE ESPAÑA, Working paper n° 2641

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Apr 29 2026
Abstract: The proliferation of economic uncertainty indicators —ranging from text-based indices like the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index to market-based measures such as the VIX and the ECB’s Country-Level Index of Financial Stress (CLIFS)— has enriched the analytical toolkit of economists and policymakers. Yet these ...more »

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Forecasting Bitcoin price movements using multivariate Hawkes processes and limit order book data

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Apr 17 2026
Authors: Davide Raffaelli, Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari, Daniele Marazzina, Simone Formentin Forecasting short-term returns of Bitcoin is a key challenge in high-frequency trading, due to the cryptocurrency’s extreme volatility, market microstructure complexity, and non-stationary behavior. Limit Order Book (LOB) data offer a rich source of high-resolution information that can improve ...more »

Marco Gross and Richard Senner “From Par to Pressure: Liquidity, Redemptions, and Fire Sales with a Systemic Stablecoin”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/5

Posted in: Articolo

Mar 26 2026
Abstract: Fiat-backed stablecoins are expanding, and their issuers may attain systemic relevance as reserve portfolios grow and as they may become increasingly intertwined with financial markets. This paper analyzes the resulting risks and the design choices that can mitigate them. A detailed financial-economics discussion forms ...more »

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