Banking

R. Matthew Darst, Lucia Gurrieri, Arazi Lubis and Alexandros P. Vardoulakis, “The Last Taxi: LCR Buffers and Bank Liquidity Provision”
Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C., Working paper n° 2026-051

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Lug 31 2026
Abstract: This paper examines whether regulatory liquidity buffers enable banks to support corporate borrowers during financial stress. Using confidential bank-firm credit data and hand collected Liquidity Coverage Ratio regulation (LCR) disclosures during COVID-19, we find that banks with higher LCR buffers above the regulatory minimum ...more »

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Simone Casellina, Gaetano Chionsini, Raphael M. Kopp and Maroua Riabi, “SYSTEMATIC BACKTESTING OF PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT MODELS WITH REGULATORY DATA”
European Banking Authority, Working Paper n° 24-4/2026

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: Internal ratings-based models play a central role in bank risk management and regulatory capital determination, yet their validation remains methodologically challenging and operationally resource-intensive. In this paper, we contribute to the quantitative validation of probability of default models through a systematic backtesting exercise using ...more »

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Fan Dora Xia and Omar Zulaica, “Embracing carbon uncertainty in portfolio construction”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Paper n° 1362
 

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We propose a framework for constructing fixed-income portfolios of sovereign bonds that integrates financial and environmental considerations. Central to our approach is the introduction of carbon returns, a concept analogous to financial returns, modeled as random variables to capture the inherent uncertainty of future ...more »

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Yuteng Cheng, Jonathan Chiu, Mohammad Davoodalhosseini and Janet Hua Jiang, “Data Externalities, Market Power, and the Optimal Design of Central Bank Digital Currencies”
Bank of Canada, Working paper n° 2026-21

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We study the optimal design of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in an economy where private payment service providers (PSPs) collect and monetize transaction data and may have market power. Payments data create social benefits through law enforcement and monitoring but also impose ...more »

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Thomas Lustenberger, Enzo Rossi and Anna Zeitz, “Central bank communication: New data and stylized facts from a century of Fed speeches”
Swiss National Bank, Working Paper n° 6/2026

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: Drawing on a novel dataset of more than 10,000 speeches from 1914 to 2024, we track the evolution of Federal Reserve communication and identify three stylized facts. (1) Although the overall volume of speeches has declined over the past decade, the composition of Fed ...more »

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Walter Beckert, Peter Eccles and Paolo Siciliani, “Capital requirements and process innovation”
Bank of England, Working Paper n° 1,188

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between the optimal level minimum capital requirements aimed at preventing moral hazard by banks and banks’ incentives to invest in process innovation aimed at improving operational efficiency. We extend Hellmann et al (2000)’s dynamic model of banking competition to ...more »

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Negar Mohammadi Jazi and Felipe Netto, “Asymmetric information and capital regulation in SME lending:a structural model of bank and non-bank competition”
Bank of England, Working paper n° 1,191

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: We analyse how risk-based capital requirements shape competition and credit allocation in the UK unsecured Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SME) lending market using confidential loan-level data. Motivated by empirical patterns, we develop and estimate a structural model with screening, asymmetric information, and imperfect competition, ...more »

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Franz Hamann, Juan C. Mendez-Vizcaino, Enrique G. Mendoza and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, “Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies: A Curse and a Blessing”
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS, Working paper n° 2018-032E

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Giu 25 2026
Abstract: Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their sovereign risk rises when oil prices fall, and many of them have defaulted in the past. Interestingly, oil output reduces country risk on impact and in the long-run,but oil reserves increase it in ...more »

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Iñaki Aldasoro, Sebastian Doerr, and Haonan Zhou, “Liquidity regulation and bank funding costs”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Paper n° 1352

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Mag 29 2026
Abstract: We establish a causal link between liquidity regulation and a lower cost of bank wholesale funding. For identification, we use pre-determined variation in banks’ liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) in a difference-in-differences setup. Granular instrument-level data allow us to carefully control for any observable and ...more »

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Nordine Abidi, Leonardo Gambacorta, Christoffer Kok, Leonardo Madio, Ixart Miquel-Flores, and Alberto Partida, “Disciplining digital risk: evidence from cyber stress tests”
Bank for International Settlements, Working Papers n° 1351

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Mag 29 2026
Abstract: Investment in cybersecurity in an interconnected banking system has public-good proper-ties: positive externalities can generate systemic underinvestment. Using confidential supervi-sory data from the European Central Bank, we first identify “laggard” European banks that underinvest relative to their cyber-risk profiles, and then examine how supervisory ...more »

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