Capital markets
Bo Li, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, Marcello Miccoli, Brandon Joel Tan and Longmei Zhang “Making Stablecoins Stable”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/74
Posted in: Articolo
Apr
29
2026
Abstract: Payment stablecoins are privately issued digital money with the potential to enhance payment efficiency, foster innovation, and improve financial inclusion. At the same time, they are vulnerable to runs and associated welfare losses. One way to lower run risk is to require stablecoin issuers ...more »
Tagged width: banking, blockchain, capital markets, fintech
Paul Konietschke, Julian Metzler and Aurea Ponte Marques “A quantile probability model for sectoral corporate defaults in Europe”
European Central Bank, Working Paper Series n° 3207
Posted in: Articolo
Apr
29
2026
Abstract: Conventional credit risk models understate tail risk by centering on mean default probabilities and neglecting distributional and sectoral heterogeneity. We propose a Quantile Probability of Default (QPD) framework based on unconditional quantile regressions estimated on flow default rates from five million non-financial firms across ...more »
Tagged width: capital markets
Fabien Gonguet, Xuehui Han, Choonsung Lim, To-Nhu Dao and Saraf Nawar “Climate Finance and Adaptation Needs In Pacific Island Countries”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/83
Posted in: Articolo
Apr
29
2026
Abstract: Pacific Island Countries (PICs) face acute and rising climate adaptation needs due to high exposure to sea‑level rise, natural disasters, and structural vulnerabilities associated with small size and geographic remoteness. This paper develops a unified framework to produce the first region‑wide, internally consistent estimates ...more »
Tagged width: banking, capital markets
Apr
27
2026
Michele Azzone, Carlo Bechi, Gabriele Sbaiz 1. Introduction The increasing frequency, severity, and unpredictability of natural disasters and chronic climate threats pose unprecedented challenges to global financial markets. Traditional asset pricing models and portfolio management frameworks often struggle to incorporate the stochastic nature of physical ...more »
Tagged width: capital markets, green
Pricing and Hedging Financial Derivatives in Merger&Acquisition Deals with Price Impact
Posted in: Articolo
Apr
25
2026
Authors: Emilio Barucci, Yuheng Lan, Daniele Marazzina. This paper investigates the optimal execution and pricing of financial contracts commonly used in merger and acquisition (M&A) transactions, focusing on agreements between a broker and a counterparty. In particular, we analyze three classes of contracts: linear instruments ...more »
Tagged width: Barucci Emilio, capital markets, Lan Yuheng, Marazzina Daniele
Marco Gross and Richard Senner “From Par to Pressure: Liquidity, Redemptions, and Fire Sales with a Systemic Stablecoin”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/5
Posted in: Articolo
Mar
26
2026
Abstract: Fiat-backed stablecoins are expanding, and their issuers may attain systemic relevance as reserve portfolios grow and as they may become increasingly intertwined with financial markets. This paper analyzes the resulting risks and the design choices that can mitigate them. A detailed financial-economics discussion forms ...more »
Tagged width: banking, capital markets, fintech
Eugenio M. Cerutti, Martina Hengge and Takaaki Sagawa, “Stablecoin Shocks”
International Monetary Fund, Working paper n° 26/44
Posted in: Articolo
Mar
26
2026
Abstract: We develop novel measures of stablecoin shocks and use them to identify the causal effects of stablecoin adoption on U.S. financial markets. Combining a daily narrative dataset of stablecoin-specific news with changes in the combined market capitalization of USDC and USDT, we measure high-frequency ...more »
Tagged width: banking, capital markets, fintech
Youming Liu, Francisco Rivadeneyra and Edona Reshidi, “Public vs. Private Payment Platforms: Market Impacts and Optimal Policy”
Bank of Canada, Working paper n° 2026-10
Posted in: Articolo
Mar
26
2026
Abstract: We study competition between a welfare-maximizing public platform and a profit-maximizing private platform in a two-sided payment market. We characterize the public platform’s optimal pricing and show that it balances the benefits of increased competition against the welfare costs of network fragmentation. While introducing ...more »
Tagged width: banking, capital markets
Juan S. Mora-Sanguinetti, Cristina Peñasco and Rok Spruk, “THE IMPACT OF “GREEN REGULATION” ON FIRMS’ INNOVATION”
Banco de España, Working Paper n° 2611
Posted in: Articolo
Mar
26
2026
Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of “green regulations” – i.e. those aimed at mitigating the effects of climate change and environmental externalities – on innovation, using a novel regulatory database covering the period 2008-2022 for Spain. The database identifies regulations at both the national ...more »
Tagged width: banking, capital markets, eurozone
Enzo D’Innocenzo, André Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang, “Joint extreme value-at-risk and expected shortfall dynamics with a single integrated tail shape parameter”
European Central Bank, Working Paper n° 3166
Posted in: Articolo
Mar
26
2026
Abstract: We propose a robust semi-parametric framework for persistent time-varying extreme tail behavior, including extreme Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES). The framework builds on Extreme Value Theory and uses a conditional version of the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) for peaks-over-threshold (POT) dynamics. Unlike earlier ...more »
Tagged width: banking, capital markets
